Trump's bond market intervention and the $40 trillion debt

Aug 20, 2026

The US Treasury stepped in to prop up the bond market as borrowing costs hit their highest level since 2007 — bad news for anyone with a loan, a mortgage, or a small business.

  • The Treasury doubled its buying of long-term government debt to stop yields climbing, an unusual emergency move.
  • Fewer buyers want US debt, so the government has to pay more to borrow — and interest now eats 14% of federal spending.
  • US debt just hit $40 trillion, and central banks around the world are shifting into gold instead of Treasuries.
  • The Fed is holding rates steady and worries high inflation from the Iran war is becoming permanent.
  • Big tech can shrug off costly borrowing; small businesses, homebuyers, and car buyers cannot.

Outlook: Rates look set to stay high for years, raising the risk of a debt spiral where borrowing costs feed on themselves.

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