The Global Debt Spiral and Breaking Bond Market

Oct 13, 2026

Government borrowing costs are jumping worldwide as lenders demand protection from inflation, which is bad news for savers, borrowers, and anyone hoping for lower rates.

  • The world now owes $365 trillion, with the US share growing by tens of thousands of dollars every second.
  • Trump has pointed to inflation as the way to shrink the debt load, which also shrinks the value of savings and paychecks.
  • Bond buyers are responding by demanding higher interest to lend, since inflation would eat their returns.
  • US 10-year borrowing costs hit their highest since 2002, Britain's 30-year topped 6% for the first time since 1998, and Japan's hit a record.
  • Higher rates have pushed the US housing market down to activity levels last seen in 1995.

Outlook: If governments keep leaning on inflation to handle their debts, lenders will keep pushing rates higher and rate-sensitive markets like housing will stay frozen.

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