Kilauea has gone quiet after more than a year of dramatic, clockwork lava fountains — disappointing for visitors who had been rushing out to watch, but no immediate danger either way.

• The last real fountaining episode was in late August, after 54 episodes in the cycle.
• Magma moved under the summit again overnight but stopped short of the surface — a "failed eruption."
• Scientists watched it happen through swarms of small earthquakes and ground shifting, the usual signs rocks are cracking as magma pushes a new path.
• Pressure under the volcano is still high enough for fountaining to restart, and lava is still visible in the vents.
• If this underground magma movement keeps up instead, fountaining becomes less and less likely.
• The recent storms had no effect on the volcano itself — only on the scientists trying to work.

Outlook: Kilauea could swing either way in the coming weeks, either returning to fountaining or settling into quiet underground magma movement.