Bond yields climbing as the Fed eases too soon
Government bond yields are jumping and could go much higher, which is bad news for borrowers, homebuyers, investors, and anyone hoping cheap money comes back.
- The 10-year government bond rate hit 5.3%, and economist Steven Blitz sees 5.75% next and 8% over the long run.
- At those levels mortgage rates go into double digits, which would freeze home buying and stall the whole economy.
- The cause: the Fed cut rates under political pressure before inflation was actually beaten, repeating an old mistake.
- Savers get higher interest but still lose ground, because inflation is rising faster than what they earn.
- Washington's runaway spending keeps pushing yields up, and the government just tweaked how it measures inflation to make the numbers look better.
Outlook: Expect yields to keep climbing and squeeze shipping costs, food prices, and holiday spending into the end of the year.