Military experts meeting in Taipei disagreed on whether drones can change the Taiwan-China balance, but agreed Taiwan should stop trying to out-produce China and focus on hitting the right targets and replacing losses fast.

• Taiwan cannot win a numbers race against China, so it should target specific weak points in China's attack chain instead.
• Sam Roggeveen of Australia's Lowy Institute doubts drones help at all — both sides can use them, and China stays closer to the fight with more bases.
• His warning from Ukraine: when a nuclear power invades a US partner, Washington sends weapons and intelligence but not troops, so Taiwan should plan to defend itself.
• Hudson Institute's Timothy Walton pushed back, saying American forces are already on Taiwan and the Ukraine case does not transfer.
• Taiwan's own strength is its electronics industry, which could build sea-denial weapons and air defenses that do not need runways.

Outlook: Expect Taiwan to push modular, locally built drone and missile production plus supply-chain security, since jammed or hacked drones are worthless in a real fight.