The case for letting Iran get the bomb

Aug 25, 2026

An old argument is resurfacing in the Iran debate: that a nuclear-armed Iran would make the Middle East calmer, not more dangerous — a claim most Western governments reject outright.

  • The idea traces to Kenneth Waltz, who argued shortly before his death that an Iran with nuclear weapons would feel secure enough to stop stirring up trouble abroad.
  • The logic is that countries with the bomb stop fighting each other directly, because the risk is too high.
  • India and Pakistan are the test case — supporters point to fewer full wars between them since Pakistan went nuclear.
  • The broader version goes further: more nuclear powers in the region would mean a more stable region, not a more explosive one.

Outlook: This thinking stays on the fringe of policy, but expect it to keep surfacing as pressure on Iran's nuclear program continues.

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