The US-China gold race and de-dollarization

Jul 18, 2026

China is quietly buying huge amounts of gold and reshaping the global money system, which is bad for the US dollar and could send gold much higher.

  • China made its biggest gold purchase since 2023 last month and now holds gold near 10% of its reserves, buying while prices are low.
  • China is banning retail gold trading at home starting July 24 to build a market based on real physical demand, not paper speculation.
  • The plan: let countries sell oil for Chinese currency, then swap that for physical gold stored in Shanghai โ€” a challenge to the dollar-and-oil system.
  • The US keeps printing money and issuing debt fast, so the dollar loses value each year, pushing more central banks toward gold.
  • The reheating Iran war means more US borrowing and higher oil prices, which could push inflation back toward 4% and speed up the move away from dollars.

Outlook: Expect central banks to keep stacking gold and China to keep buying, putting steady upward pressure on gold prices and downward pressure on the dollar.

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