A new poll shows the ruling party's candidate ahead in New Taipei City's mayoral race, bad news for the KMT in a city it has run for over two decades.

• Democratic Progressive Party candidate Su Chiao-hui leads KMT candidate Li Si-chuan by about 6 points.
• Li's campaign disputes the poll, saying it surveyed far more DPP-leaning voters than KMT ones.
• On who people think will actually win, the two candidates are tied.
• Nearly half of those asked said they would like to see a different party run the city after 20-plus years of KMT rule.
• Li is pushing local policy plans on rail projects, urban renewal, and labor, and casting himself as the successor to current mayor Hou Yu-ih.

Outlook: Expect more dueling polls and sharper fights over sampling as the New Taipei race heats up.