Trump is openly floating military force against Cuba, a move that would deepen a humanitarian crisis and is bad news for ordinary Cubans caught in the middle.

• Trump said he wants to "get Cuba done" before leaving office and would consider using military force, with Marco Rubio leading the effort.
• A long-running US oil blockade is already crushing Cuba's economy, driving high inflation, medicine shortages, blackouts, and long lines for food.
• Everyday Cubans, including retirees and working people, are struggling to eat and afford basic medication as state services collapse and informal sellers charge far more.
• Polling shows most Americans, including a majority of Republicans, want to end Middle East wars and are tired of money and conflict spreading overseas, putting Trump at odds with his own party after recent election losses.
• Critics argue Trump keeps pushing new foreign interventions to shore up his legacy despite the political backlash.

Outlook: Expect continued US pressure and rhetoric on Cuba, but strong bipartisan war fatigue at home makes a full military intervention politically risky before the new Congress is seated in January.