Bitcoin Under a Broken Monthly Low: Usual Drop Is -10.6%
Bitcoin's chart history suggests more downside is likely after it broke below last month's low, which is bad news for holders hoping for a quick rebound.
- Going back to 2011, every time Bitcoin broke a prior month's low, the slide continued further about two-thirds of the time, with a typical extra drop of around 10%.
- One in four of these breaks turned into a much deeper plunge of 22% or more below the low.
- Key price zones to watch on the way down are near the daily 200-day average and a lower support area below that.
- If Bitcoin also loses its September low, the mid-60,000s range becomes a realistic downside target.
Outlook: Unless Bitcoin reclaims the broken monthly low soon, history points to further losses toward the mid-60,000s.
## Bitcoin Levels
- **Bias:** Bearish
- **Support:** $73,700 (daily 200 simple moving average); $68,100
- **Targets:** Mid-$60,000s
- **Invalidation:** Reclaiming the September low / prior monthly low