Election night is shaping up badly for Republicans, with analysts expecting Democrats to take at least one chamber of Congress as punishment for a unified war-and-spending agenda neither party has broken from.

• A divided Congress is seen as the likely outcome tonight, with the House possibly flipping Democrat while the Senate stays Republican, leaving Trump as a weakened lame duck for his final two years.
• Voters are reportedly most angry about the economy, healthcare, and the Iran conflict — all areas where the administration is seen as having failed, making this look like a backlash election rather than a embrace of Democrats.
• Trump abruptly floated cutting the billions in yearly aid the U.S. sends Israel, a sign that support for Israel is becoming politically toxic even within his own camp, though few expect the cut to actually happen.
• Speculation is swirling that Trump could soon fire chief of staff Susie Wiles and defense secretary Pete Hegseth to deflect blame for failures in Iran and Venezuela, though a shakeup this early is seen as unlikely.
• There's renewed talk of a serious third-party movement, with some drawing comparisons to Ross Perot's 1992 run, aimed at breaking what's described as a two-party war machine funded by the same donor interests.

Outlook: Expect a Democratic gain in the House with Trump's agenda largely stalled through 2028, while pressure builds on Israel-related funding and a possible shakeup of Trump's inner circle in the weeks ahead.