A political commentator predicts a major shakeup inside the Trump administration right after the midterm elections, with chief of staff Susie Wiles and HHS secretary RFK Jr. both expected to be pushed out.

• Wiles, described as a longtime gatekeeper controlling access to Trump, is being blamed for stalled promises on health reform and for steering policy toward more involvement in Middle East conflicts rather than less.
• RFK Jr. is seen as sidelined rather than empowered, unable to advance food and health policy changes he campaigned on, while his public image has shifted toward defending Israel.
• Possible replacements for Wiles include Kevin McCarthy, who critics argue could be an even more compromised choice due to deep ties to lobbying interests.
• Separately, a Jared Kushner story involving large financial transactions is making headlines, though no legal consequences are expected, similar to past cases involving powerful insiders.
• Defense secretary Pete Hegseth is expected to keep his job despite the unpopular Iran conflict, largely because of his public image value to the administration.

Outlook: Expect cabinet and leadership reshuffling to accelerate after the midterms, with scapegoats named for election losses but little fundamental change in policy direction.