Bitcoin's Full Moon Pattern Shows an Edge

Oct 31, 2026

A look back at the past year shows Bitcoin tends to rise around full moons, a quirky but notable pattern worth watching rather than trading on alone.

  • Out of 16 full moons in the past year, 13 were followed by gains of at least 3.5%.
  • That's roughly an 80% hit rate, which is higher than random chance would suggest.
  • The pattern is treated as an interesting data point, not a proven trading signal — moon cycles have no clear mechanical link to price.

Outlook: Traders may watch upcoming full moons as a minor tailwind, but this is a side curiosity rather than a core strategy.

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