A moon-phase pattern traders watch is flashing bullish for Bitcoin again, though the setup is more curiosity than hard signal.

• The current full moon window has historically leaned bullish, with most past cycles showing gains afterward.
• Even the weaker outcomes in this pattern still posted a small positive return.
• One past cycle broke the pattern entirely and dropped straight down, so the setup can fail.
• The odds favor an upward move, but it's a loose statistical tendency, not a guarantee.

Outlook: Bitcoin is more likely than not to see a modest bounce in the near term, but a sharp drop remains possible.