Taiwan Stocks Face Pressure from US Midterms, But Analysts See AI Rally Holding

Oct 26, 2026

Taiwan's stock market is wobbling ahead of the US midterm elections, but analysts say the AI-driven bull run is not over, framing this as a short-term scare rather than a trend reversal.

  • Investors fear Democrats winning Congress could slow down data center buildouts by US tech giants, which would hurt Taiwan's chip and electronics supply chain.
  • Analysts argue a split Congress could actually reduce policy uncertainty by slowing down controversial moves, so the election outcome isn't necessarily bad for stocks.
  • The real driver for Taiwan stocks is whether AI demand and tech company spending keep growing, not who controls Congress.
  • Taiwan's market already dropped sharply after a long holiday weekend, hurt by big foreign selling, semiconductor swings in US trading, and worries about an AI bubble.
  • Taiwan's currency keeps weakening even though exports and AI-driven profits are strong, because money is flowing out of the country faster than it's coming in.

Outlook: This week's earnings reports from major chipmakers and tech firms, plus the Fed meeting, will likely decide whether Taiwan's market stabilizes or keeps sliding toward lower support levels.

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