Bitcoin Liquidations, Then a Bounce — New Signal Forming
Bitcoin and most major cryptocurrencies are stuck in a cool-off phase, holding key support levels for now but at risk of a short dip before any relief, with a Fed interest rate decision in two days likely to decide what comes next.
- Bitcoin is clinging to support in the $80,000-$82,000 range, with resistance capping gains around $86,000-$88,000.
- A pile of trading liquidity sitting near $79,000 makes a quick dip to that level likely before any bounce, though a full crash back to prior lows looks unlikely.
- A new bullish signal just appeared in the Nasdaq 100, which could give Bitcoin a short break or sideways stability for a day or two, but a bearish signal on Bitcoin's own daily chart points to continued weak momentum for now.
- Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Chainlink are all showing similar weakness, with Chainlink already breaking down to new support near $11.
- Bitcoin's share of the total crypto market is stalling at a major ceiling (60.5%-61%); a break above there would be bad news for altcoins broadly.
Outlook: Expect choppy, mostly flat price action for a day or two, with a possible dip to grab nearby liquidity, before the Fed's rate decision likely injects more volatility.
## Bitcoin Levels
- **Bias:** Bearish to neutral short-term (weak momentum, cool-off phase); bullish longer-term on the weekly chart
- **Buy / accumulate:** Near $79,000 (liquidity zone), or the $80,000-$82,000 support area
- **Sell / take profit:** $86,000-$88,000 resistance zone
- **Support:** $80,000-$82,000 (key level $80,000)
- **Resistance:** $86,000-$88,000
- **Targets:** Downside liquidity target around $78,800-$79,100; secondary liquidity pocket near $85,000
- **Invalidation:** A confirmed break below the $80,000-$82,000 support zone