TSMC Q3 revenue beats guidance, stock seen doubling by 2030
TSMC is riding the AI chip boom to record results, good news for its shareholders and for Nvidia and AMD, though the wider chip trade is suddenly shaky.
- Third-quarter sales came in above the top end of TSMC's own forecast, and profit is set to jump sharply from a year ago — a sixth straight record quarter.
- Growth is speeding up, not slowing: revenue is up more than 40% so far this year, with monthly sales growing even faster over the summer.
- AI demand is the engine, with Nvidia expecting its chip sales to double again next year and AMD adding capacity through 2027.
- TSMC is expanding its most advanced 2nm and 3nm production and plans to raise prices on those chips next year, which should lift both sales and margins.
- The stock is up almost 400% in three years, and analysts think it can double again by 2030 — but chip stocks across Asia fell hard today, with Tokyo and Seoul down sharply.
Outlook: Earnings and pricing power point up for TSMC into 2027, but a jittery market means the ride higher will come with big swings.