A year into the Gaza ceasefire, Israel has expanded rather than reduced its control of the territory — bad news for Palestinians, who are squeezed into a shrinking strip of land.

• The deal promised a phased Israeli pullback; instead Israeli forces pushed west past the agreed line and now hold close to 70% of Gaza.
• Two million people are packed into the remaining third, most of them in squalid tent camps or bombed-out buildings — one collapsed last month and killed 20.
• Israel is building permanence: a 44-kilometer wall of earth splitting Gaza in two, plus dozens of fortified military bases inside the strip.
• Neighborhoods are being bulldozed as the line moves, which makes returning home impossible.
• The one real shift is political: US public opinion has turned against Israel, AIPAC has become toxic in Washington, and Democrats are voting against arms funding in numbers not seen before.

Outlook: Without US pressure to cut the flow of weapons and money, the ceasefire will keep functioning as cover for slow, permanent occupation.