Trump's approval numbers before the midterms are the worst on record, which is bad news for Republicans and good news for Democrats.

• Multiple polls put Trump's net approval between -33 and -38, a level no president has hit before a midterm.
• Independents, the group that won him the last election, have swung to -57.
• Trump has lost 31% of his own 2024 voters — tens of millions of people.
• Democrats are far more fired up to vote: 59% say they are extremely excited, versus 35% of Republicans.
• High prices, a weak economy, and another foreign war are driving the anger.

Outlook: If the numbers hold, Republicans face heavy midterm losses in November, with low turnout from their own base making it worse.