Bessent under pressure as bond yields hit 24-year highs

Oct 08, 2026

Rising borrowing costs are squeezing housing, jobs and the government's own budget, which is bad for buyers and workers but still good for the wealthy who own stocks.

  • Government bond yields have pushed past 5.3%, a 24-year high, and borrowing costs across the board have jumped sharply since the Iran war began.
  • The Treasury is buying back long-term bonds, but it has to borrow short-term to do it, which could leave banks short of cash.
  • Mortgage rates near 7.5% have pushed the typical first-time buyer's age to 40, and banks seized 42% more homes than a year earlier.
  • Job growth is the weakest on record for this stretch, with 800,000 jobs quietly revised away over the past 20 months.
  • New "Trump accounts" will seed $1,000 of taxpayer money per child, with most of it flowing into the S&P 500 — a fresh pool of buyers for stocks ahead of the midterms.

Outlook: Expect more pressure on housing and jobs into the midterms, with oil and bond yields staying high while another round of strikes on Iran is on the table.

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