$14 billion Taiwan arms sale expected to win approval

Oct 08, 2026

A stalled $14 billion US weapons package for Taiwan will likely be approved eventually, which is good news for Taipei but leaves it waiting while Washington courts Beijing.

  • Former AIT director Brent Christensen expects the pending $14 billion arms sale to Taiwan to clear sooner or later.
  • The delay lines up with heavy US-China diplomacy: Trump and Xi met at the White House after an earlier Beijing summit, with two more meetings expected by year-end.
  • Holding the sale back does not serve American interests, Christensen said, and approval matters as a visible sign the US still backs Taiwan's self-defense.
  • Arms sales to Taiwan have been slowed by US-China diplomatic calendars before, so the pattern is familiar.
  • Former AIT chair Laura Rosenberger argued US policy should aim at a strong, confident and prosperous Taiwan, which is about the partnership itself rather than about China.

Outlook: Approval is likely to keep slipping until the current round of Trump-Xi meetings is over.

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