EU payments push against Visa and Mastercard, Canada cuts Treasuries, AI bubble strains
The world is pulling money and payment systems away from US control, and that is bad news for American bond markets, Visa, Mastercard, and the AI trade.
- Government bond yields are at 20-year highs, with the 10-year above 5% and the 30-year heading toward 6%, while Trump insists the dollar is strong and inflation is not a problem.
- Canada dumped $30 billion in US Treasuries in one month, and China and Japan keep selling too — nobody wants US paper during a trade war.
- A group of European payment companies serving 130 million people is building a rival card network, because Visa and Mastercard handle most EU card spending and Washington could switch them off like it did in Russia in 2022.
- The ECB wants a digital euro running by 2029, with a test launch in 2027, to avoid a future where payments fly either the US or Chinese flag.
- AI companies are now funding their own customers: SpaceX is borrowing $40 billion to buy Nvidia chips, Nvidia lined up $500 billion of Wall Street money for buyers of its chips, and Broadcom is doing the same for Anthropic.
Outlook: Stocks could keep rising for months as money rotates out of bonds, but higher borrowing costs or one big tech company slowing its spending could pop the AI trade fast.