Trump used his UN address to claim wins on household incomes and crime, and most of the numbers hold up — neutral to positive news for the administration, uncomfortable for Iran.

• Real household incomes in the US have hit an all-time high, passing the 2019 peak.
• The murder rate is falling fast, down 18.7% in the first four months of this year, with all violent crime down too.
• If that pace holds, the murder rate would be the lowest on record, though a few years in the 1950s were slightly lower.
• Trump called Iran the top state sponsor of terror and repeated that it will never be allowed a nuclear weapon, while Iran's president sat in the room listening.

Outlook: Expect the income and crime numbers to become a core campaign talking point, and continued hard lines on Iran's nuclear program.