Unemployment hits 4.2% and the market rallies

Oct 02, 2026

A weak September jobs report pushed stocks up, because bad news for workers now means less pressure on the Fed to keep raising rates.

  • Hiring came in far below expectations and unemployment ticked up to 4.2%, the first move after months of being flat.
  • Stocks rose and bond yields fell on bets the Fed will hold rates steady at its late-October meeting.
  • Inflation still rose on the year, but much of the pressure is coming from expensive diesel, which raises the cost of moving everything from packages to groceries.
  • US unemployment is still low next to most big economies — the UK, India, Brazil, China, Canada and France all sit higher.

Outlook: A rate hike in October now looks unlikely, but traders still see a real chance of one in December.

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