Israel is pushing an Iran-linked terrorism story about a FlyDubai cockpit attack before any real investigation, which is bad for anyone hoping for a truthful account and dangerous for Iran.

• A co-pilot attacked the captain on a Dubai–Tel Aviv flight, and Netanyahu is already calling it Iranian-backed terrorism with no evidence.

• The story keeps changing: first a smuggled knife, then an emergency axe kept in the cockpit; first the wounded pilot opened the armored door, then an Israeli passenger kicked it in.

• The timing makes no sense for a plot against Israel — the attack happened well before the plane was anywhere near Israeli airspace.

• Trump sounded unsure at first, saying the attacker might just have been unstable, then switched overnight to threatening to hit Iran "very hard."

• Netanyahu tied the claim to a separate UK case, warning Britain after it sanctioned West Bank settlement goods — while suspects there were arrested and quickly released on bail.

Outlook: With the suspect handed to the UAE and Israel expecting a role in questioning him, expect the Iran-terrorism framing to harden and raise the odds of US or Israeli strikes.