A violent incident aboard a FlyDubai flight is being folded into Israel's election fight, while a parallel "Iran plot" claim in the UK looks thin — bad news for anyone trying to separate real threats from political spin.

• A co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain and tried to send the plane into a dive; the captain fought him off, reserve pilots landed it, and passengers restrained him.
• The details mostly check out, confirmed by UAE and Saudi sources, but Netanyahu is using it as a rallying cry heading into a tight election — he had already told voters enemies would attack before the vote.
• In Britain, the prime minister says there are strong indications Iran was behind a disturbance at RAF Fairford, yet police found only petrol in some vans and no explosives.
• Five men were arrested and then bailed, and the arrests came after a woman driving past at night called police — not because a suspect turned himself in, as some press reports suggest.
• Attacking a British base makes little sense for Iran, which has avoided hitting Israel and would only pull the UK deeper into the war.

Outlook: Expect the hijack story to stay central to Israel's campaign, while the UK will face growing pressure to explain what the Fairford plot actually was.