Bitcoin is heading into October with a strong seasonal record behind it, which is good news for holders betting on a fourth-quarter rally.

• In past Octobers that finished green, Bitcoin typically ran over 30% from where the month opened to its peak.
• That gain measures the high, not the close — the month usually ends well below the top.
• Measured open to close instead, the typical gain shrinks to around 12%.
• Starting from where September is wrapping up, a repeat of that 30% move would put Bitcoin near $109,000.

Outlook: Seasonality favors a strong October, but history suggests giving back much of the peak before the month closes.

## Bitcoin Levels

• **Bias:** Bullish
• **Targets:** ~$109,000 (a 30% run from the September close)