Michael Burry warns of an AI bubble
The investor who called the 2008 housing crash now says the AI boom is close to breaking, which would be bad for stocks, banks, and taxpayers.
- Michael Burry has shifted to riskier bets against AI stocks and pulled his timeline forward, expecting a bust within a year.
- The market looks strong but isn't: five big tech stocks — Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Alphabet, and Nvidia — drove almost all of the S&P 500's recent gains.
- AI companies have borrowed heavily to build data centers, and banks are on the hook for hundreds of billions in loans.
- Economists at Capital Economics see late-stage bubble signs, saying AI profit forecasts are far ahead of what the economy can deliver.
- OpenAI has floated the idea of the government acting as insurer of last resort, which reads as planning for failure and setting up another bailout fight.
Outlook: A single bad earnings quarter from a big AI name could trigger a sharp market drop, with bailout demands following fast.