Bitcoin is set up for a short-term dip but a strong finish to the year, which is good news for buyers willing to wait for a pullback.

• A short-term correction is likely, with price expected to drop back toward the low $82,000s within days.
• That dip is a healthy retest of a level that used to be resistance and should now act as a floor.
• Holding above that line on the weekly, monthly, and quarterly closes would set up a bullish fourth quarter.
• Past setups like this one have returned over 20% about nine weeks later, pointing to late November strength.
• The Nasdaq looks strong too, and while stocks and Bitcoin don't always rise together, they do tend to fall together.

Outlook: Expect sideways-to-lower action into early October, then a push toward the low-to-mid $90,000s by mid-to-late October before a sharp pullback.

## Bitcoin Levels

• **Bias:** Bullish into Q4, with a short-term corrective dip expected first.
• **Buy / accumulate:** $83,500 daily buy order placed; expects fills closer to $82,800.
• **Sell / take profit:** $90,000-$95,000 on the next leg up.
• **Support:** $82,650-$82,800 (4-hour 55 EMA and the May macro swing high); $80,000 as the later correction low.
• **Resistance:** $87,500 (September high); $100,000 psychological level.
• **Targets:** $90,000-$94,000 by mid-October; above $100,000 before December (roughly 67% odds) and before January (roughly 73% odds).
• **Invalidation:** A weekly close below the last trending lower high near $82,800; quarterly bullish engulfing needs a close above the Q2 high at $82,814.