Bitcoin is outperforming its own history after a golden cross 15 days ago, which is good news for holders — though the early lead may not last.

• The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day average, a signal traders read as bullish.
• Fifteen days in, Bitcoin is up about 8%, versus a typical 2% for past crosses at this stage.
• That is a big lead, but early outperformance usually fades back toward the average over time.
• Past cycles suggest the bigger moves tend to start around day 40, so the real test is still ahead.

Outlook: Expect the gain to cool off toward the historical trend, with the next meaningful stretch arriving a few weeks out.