A new Taiwan poll shows Taipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an as the clear front-runner for the KMT's 2028 presidential nomination, though the picture flips depending on which slice of blue voters you ask.

• Among pan-blue voters, Chiang leads with 43%, ahead of Taichung Mayor Lu Shiu-yen at 22% and legislative speaker Han Kuo-yu at 16%.
• Among self-identified KMT supporters only, Han jumps to first at 40%, with Lu second and Chiang third.
• Lu holds her home turf in Taichung and is well liked across the blue base, giving her the steadiest second place.
• Younger voters lean toward Chiang, while the 40-49 group splits almost evenly between all three.
• The 2026 local elections are 74 days out, and the blue-white alliance is already fraying after talks collapsed in Zhubei.

Outlook: The 2026 local races will decide whether Lu can build a national profile and whether Han's deep-blue pull survives contact with a wider electorate.