AIT chief warns Taiwan Strait conflict would cost the world economy more than WWII
America's top diplomat in Taipei says any war over Taiwan would do more damage to the global economy than World War II — a stark warning aimed at both Beijing and anyone assuming a fight would stay local.
- Raymond Greene, head of the American Institute in Taiwan, called Taiwan Strait peace the most urgent issue facing the region and the world.
- The economic hit from a conflict would exceed WWII losses, on top of the human cost.
- Washington is pushing three tracks: top-level diplomacy including an upcoming US-China summit, more military presence along the first island chain, and help for Taiwan's own defenses.
- Claims that arming Taiwan is a provocation or a policy shift were rejected outright — US support for Taiwan's defense dates to 1979 and has held across both parties.
- Taiwan does not need to prove it could win a war, only that landing and supplying a large invasion force across 90 miles of rough sea and into mountainous cities would be near impossible.
Outlook: The coming US-China summit is being framed as a chance to steady the relationship, while Taiwan keeps borrowing lessons from Ukraine and the Middle East on cheap, adaptable defense.