The KMT's Lee Shih-chuan holds a steady lead over Su Chiao-hui in the New Taipei mayoral race, but the margin is slim, and splits between the KMT and the TPP in other cities and counties could still change the picture.

• A poll by the KMT caucus in the New Taipei City Council shows Lee Shih-chuan leading Su Chiao-hui by about 6 to 7 percentage points, while another poll shows Su Chiao-hui ahead; each side rejects the other's numbers.
• A KMT strategist says roughly 75 percent of TPP supporters back Lee Shih-chuan, and that even if blue-white cooperation collapses in Hsinchu, the most that would happen is that these voters decline to state a preference, rather than swinging to the DPP.
• Lee Shih-chuan is campaigning on a northern Taiwan "team battle," appearing alongside Chiang Wan-an, Hou Yu-ih and Hsieh Kuo-liang; Hou Yu-ih will also take over as chair of his campaign headquarters.
• New Taipei's local factions are complex, and TPP city council candidates will compete with the KMT for votes, but the local party branch still hopes to maintain blue-white cooperation.
• The party's assessment is that both the blue and green base votes have consolidated, and that the outcome hinges on where centrist voters and TPP supporters go.

Outlook: Lee Shih-chuan's campaign team will hold its first large-scale rally in Banqiao, and whether Huang Kuo-chang is invited to appear on stage will be a key indicator of whether blue-white cooperation can continue.