Bitcoin's rare moving-average cross: 8 prior cases, +41% median

Sep 08, 2026

A rare technical signal just fired on Bitcoin, and past cases point to strong gains over the next six months — good news for holders willing to sit through a rough first month.

  • In late August, Bitcoin's 55-day average crossed above both its 100-day and 200-day averages within a single week.
  • That double cross has only happened eight times since 2015.
  • Six months later, the median gain was 41%, and seven of the eight cases were positive.
  • The first month after these crosses is usually choppy — a shakeout that matches where the market is right now.

Outlook: Near-term chop is likely before the historical pattern points higher into early next year.

## Bitcoin Levels

  • **Bias:** Bullish over the next six months, choppy short term
  • **Targets:** +41% median gain six months out, measured from the $109,000 weekly close

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