South Korea's chip boom may push its trade surplus past Taiwan's

Sep 06, 2026

South Korea's memory chip exports are booming so hard that its trade surplus is closing in on Taiwan's — great news for Korean exporters, and a sign of how much money AI demand is moving around.

  • Korea's current account surplus for the first seven months of this year already ran near double all of last year's total.
  • Big banks keep raising their forecasts for Korea, and the gap with Taiwan has shrunk from over 10 points last year to about 3.
  • JPMorgan even expects Korea to pass Taiwan this year; if Korea nears 20% of GDP, that's roughly double its 1998 record.
  • Chips are doing the heavy lifting — semiconductor exports jumped sharply and now make up over 40% of everything Korea sells abroad.
  • Korea has already beaten its full-year export record with four months to spare.

Outlook: If AI chip demand holds up, Korea could top $1 trillion in exports for the first time this year.

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