New polling looks bad for Taiwan's opposition camp, with three headline numbers pointing to weak support for the KMT and its ally the TPP ahead of the local elections.

• A fresh poll puts the blue-white opposition bloc in a weak spot, and three figures in it stand out as especially damaging.
• The worry inside the KMT is one candidate dragging down a whole slate of races in her area, not just losing her own.
• Cooperation between the KMT and the TPP is the pressure point — the two parties still have to agree who runs where.
• The ruling DPP benefits if the opposition splits its vote or picks candidates who poll badly.

Outlook: Expect more fighting over candidate picks and a possible push to replace weak names before the ballots are locked in.