Taiwan's November local elections: analysts on Taipei, New Taipei and Zhubei races
Taiwan's November 28 local elections are tightening in the north, with pressure building on Taipei's sitting mayor and the opposition split hurting itself in Hsinchu County.
- In Taipei, DPP challenger Puma Shen has closed the gap by playing up his own image and downplaying party branding.
- Incumbent mayor Chiang Wan-an is on the defensive after a run of city problems — rats, flooding in Neihu, a preschool abuse case, and spending controversies — and needs a big win, not a narrow one.
- New Taipei is the DPP's best shot in 20 years, but Su Chiao-hui is squeezed as the TPP's voters lean toward KMT candidate Lee Szu-chuan.
- Su has brought in former president Tsai Ing-wen to chair her campaign, hoping to pull in swing, young and light-blue voters.
- Talks between the KMT and the TPP in Zhubei collapsed, leaving four opposition-leaning candidates splitting the vote and handing the DPP an opening.
Outlook: If the KMT and TPP cannot repair their alliance after Zhubei, the split could cost them seats in November and carry into the next presidential race.