Global oil prices swing between $70 and $110 as the US-Iran conflict shuts and reopens the Strait of Hormuz

Aug 25, 2026

Oil prices have whipsawed violently through the US-Iran war and its ceasefires — bad for drivers, airlines, and stock investors, and a fresh headache for governments trying to hold down power bills.

  • US strikes on Iran and Iranian threats to close the Strait of Hormuz pushed crude past $100 a barrel at the peak, with Brent posting its biggest one-day jump since 2020.
  • Every ceasefire rumor sent prices tumbling back toward $70, then renewed fighting sent them straight back up — a market with no stable footing.
  • Stocks moved in lockstep the other way: the Dow dropped hundreds of points on the spikes and bounced back on truce headlines.
  • Even with the strait reopened, shipping is recovering slowly, and traders now assume Hormuz will never fully return to its pre-war normal.
  • Gulf producers are studying new pipelines to bypass the strait, while Taiwan is pumping budget money into CPC and Taipower to keep fuel and electricity prices down.

Outlook: Expect more sharp swings between $70 and $100 as talks stall and restart, with steady pressure on electricity and plastics costs even if a lasting truce holds.

← Latest · Archive