Taiwan's local elections are less than 100 days away, and polling suggests the KMT is sitting comfortably in New Taipei and Taichung while the DPP struggles for attention.

• A new New Taipei poll puts the KMT's Li Si-chuan narrowly ahead of the DPP's Su Chiao-hui, within the margin of error.
• Former lawmaker Kuo Cheng-liang predicts Li will win and pull further ahead, by at least 5 points, as the campaign goes on.
• The DPP's Taipei candidate Puma Shen is soaking up news coverage without a real path to winning, crowding out Su's campaign.
• Taipei looks locked up for KMT incumbent Chiang Wan-an; Hsinchu County is closer, and Yilan and Kaohsiung remain toss-ups.

Outlook: Expect the KMT to consolidate its lead in the north while the fights in Yilan and Kaohsiung stay tight into the final stretch.