With the 2026 elections drawing near, the power struggle for position within the Blue camp has already begun. Macroeconomist Wu Chia-lung believes the one who truly holds real power is Legislative Yuan Speaker Han Kuo-yu — bad news for Lu Shiow-yen and Chiang Wan-an, who rose to prominence as local strongmen.

• Wu Chia-lung says the widely acknowledged "Four Suns" are merely a surface-level characterization; Han Kuo-yu, who controls the Legislative Yuan, is the true sun, while Lu Shiow-yen and Chiang Wan-an are only supporting players, and party chair Cheng Li-wun is a "false sun."
• He argues the Kuomintang's real problem is not a power struggle, but rather a dispute over whether to take a pro-China or pro-US line; if the wrong line is chosen, it will not matter whom the party puts forward.
• The Chung Lien tainted-oil scandal continues to spread, dealing a heavy blow to the Democratic Progressive Party and allowing Chiang Wan-an — by launching the July 25 Ketagalan Boulevard rally and floating a no-confidence motion — to see his standing surge, coming to be regarded as the Blue camp's new leader.
• Some analysts suggest Chiang Wan-an is "killing with a borrowed knife," badly wounding Lu Shiow-yen and paving the way for 2028; others believe the opposition should focus on winning Kaohsiung in 2026, as the domino effect would be more powerful than a no-confidence motion.
• The latest polls in Kaohsiung show the Green camp's Lai Jui-lung leading by a narrowing margin, raising the possibility of a "Green-to-Blue" shift by year's end, which would make it harder for Lai Ching-te to win re-election in 2028.

Outlook: As the election cycle gets under way and the tainted-oil case gains momentum, the Blue camp's internal battles over political line and positioning will only grow fiercer, with the Kaohsiung race and the no-confidence motion issue being the next points to watch.