The Iran war is spiraling as the US keeps hitting harder and Iran keeps hitting back, and it's bad for Trump, who is being blamed for a conflict that mainly serves Israel.

• The US and Iran are trapped in a cycle where each American strike triggers a bigger Iranian response, and the war keeps growing.
• Israel is cast as the main party pushing for the war, with the goal of keeping the Strait of Hormuz shipping route open.
• Trump is portrayed as escalating for his own reasons, ignoring that harder bombing only prolongs the fighting.
• His public support has collapsed, with the war blamed squarely on his choices.

Outlook: Without a shift away from more bombing, the fighting looks set to keep escalating and dragging Trump's standing down with it.