Ukraine is doubling down on the war rather than moving toward a peace deal, betting that Russia is now on the back foot.

• Zelensky has resisted giving up land or signing a peace treaty, and is now leaning in harder.
• Russia is dealing with economic strain and supply line problems, partly tied to its links with Iran.
• Ukraine is asking for a license to build its own Patriot missiles, aiming to shoot down Russian missiles at home.

Outlook: With Ukraine seeking to ramp up its own missile production, the fighting looks set to continue rather than wind down.