A migrant rush on Spain's North African enclave of Ceuta is being cast as Israeli payback against Spain for defending Palestinians, with dozens of people reportedly dead.

• Spain angered Israel by criticizing the killing of Palestinians and refusing to let the US use Spanish bases to strike Iran.
• Netanyahu publicly warned Spain would "pay a price," and soon after, thousands surged Spain's border from Morocco.
• Morocco, a close military partner of Israel through the Abraham Accords, is being framed as the tool used to carry it out.
• US think tanks and a Republican congressman suddenly began pushing to strip Spain of Ceuta and Melilla, calling them occupied Moroccan land.
• Dozens of migrants drowned or died, and half turned back fast once they found no food, water, or promised path to citizenship.

Outlook: Expect more pressure on Spain, with little mainstream coverage and the dispute over its North African enclaves likely to escalate.