Bitcoin's First Monthly Cross in 3 Years

Jul 31, 2026

A rare monthly momentum signal is about to flip positive on Bitcoin for the first time in three years, which is read as a bullish sign that the lows are in.

  • The monthly stochastic oscillator is set to cross upward for the first time since January 2023.
  • This only triggers if Bitcoin closes the month above about $64,350.
  • Every past time this happened in a deep bearish zone — 2015, 2019, 2023 — the market bottom was already in.
  • Those bottoms were often retested weeks or months later, but each one marked a major buying opportunity.

Outlook: A monthly close above $64,350 would flip the signal bullish and point to the lows being in, with a possible retest before any bigger move up.

## Bitcoin Levels

  • **Bias:** Bullish (if the monthly close confirms)
  • **Buy / accumulate:** Signal confirms on a monthly close above $64,350; historically these zones were major accumulation opportunities, including on retests
  • **Resistance:** $64,350 (the level Bitcoin must close above)
  • **Invalidation:** Failing to close the month above $64,350

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