Trump's poll numbers have hit record lows, and this is bad news for Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms.

• Trump's approval among independents has cratered to minus 53, and his overall approval sits around 32%, matching or beating record disapproval levels.
• Voters under 50 have swung 38 points against Trump since the 2024 election, and among the most motivated young voters Democrats now lead by a huge margin.
• The Iran war is a major drag — most Americans say it wasn't worth fighting, and even a chunk of Trump's own base has turned against it.
• A trusted pollster reportedly warned Trump directly to end the fighting, fix the economy, and distance himself from Netanyahu.
• Democrats aren't safe either — their party brand is deeply underwater, seen as too liberal and, from the left, as spineless leaders who don't deliver popular policies.

Outlook: The midterms look likely to hinge on turnout, with Republicans expected to stay home and Democrats more fired up, though weak Democratic candidates could still blunt the swing.