Trump has announced a deal for Hamas to fully disarm in Gaza, a hopeful step toward peace but one many doubt will hold.

• Trump says Hamas and other armed groups will give up their weapons, with Israeli forces pulling back in phases and a new Palestinian government and police force taking over.
• Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey helped broker the deal, part of Trump's broader 20-point plan for Gaza.
• People in Israel are cautiously hopeful but don't trust Hamas after years of rockets, and it's unclear who is even left to negotiate with since Hamas leadership was largely wiped out.
• The bigger prize is Iran — the belief is Trump wants the hardline IRGC gone and a moderate government in its place, using the same "join us and prosper, or get destroyed" approach.
• The deep problem is ideology: fighters raised for decades to destroy Israel can't simply be disarmed, and hardliners willing to die can't be bargained with.

Outlook: The next phase is putting the deal into practice in Gaza, but real peace depends on moderates beating hardliners there, in Lebanon, and in Iran.