Cheaper humanoid robots beat Tesla's Optimus to preorder

Jul 04, 2026

The race to sell home and factory humanoid robots is heating up, and it's framed as bad news for regular workers who could be replaced.

  • Elon Musk's Tesla Optimus is being undercut by cheaper rivals, including China's Unitree R1 at about $5,000 and a US home robot from Weave at $8,000 or a monthly subscription.
  • Musk claims a billion robots and an economy twice its current size within five to seven years — treated here as hype, not a real forecast.
  • The Trump administration is backing this as its path to "unprecedented growth," with Figure AI showing off robots at BMW and even pitching robot teachers.
  • The worry: AI could wipe out half of entry-level white-collar jobs and push unemployment to 10-20%, because the tech is improving faster than people can adapt.
  • OpenAI reportedly floated giving the government a 5% stake to ease pressure, criticized as the state picking winners and distorting the market.

Outlook: Expect a flood of cheap robots and more government-tech deals, but real demand from ordinary buyers — and the job losses that follow — remain the open question.

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