Trump is threatening to restart the war on Iran while a huge Israel-lobby campaign tries to defeat Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky's primary, both bad signs for anyone hoping for less Middle East war and less foreign influence on Congress.

• Trump says the clock is ticking on Iran and was planning another strike Tuesday, but claims he is holding off after Gulf states asked him to wait.
• A drone hit a nuclear power plant in the UAE; no one knows who did it, but it is being used to push for another US attack on Iran.
• Iran is still talking through Pakistani mediators, but the US keeps moving the goalposts, refuses to lift sanctions, and refuses to unfreeze most Iranian assets.
• US voters are turning hard against the war: only 30% back Trump's Iran decision, his approval on the war is collapsing, and Democrats now lead the generic congressional ballot by 11 points.
• Pro-Israel groups have poured over $20 million into Kentucky to beat Massie, who pushed to release the Epstein files and refuses to vote for Israel's wars; his opponent Ed Gallrein backs bringing back the draft.
• Bill Maher's monologue demanding everyone wish Israel a happy birthday or be called antisemitic ignored Gaza's death toll, now nearing 73,000, with thousands more bodies still buried under rubble.
• The Trump team is also floating a new pretext to attack Cuba, claiming Cuban drones threaten Florida, a claim even Megyn Kelly called an insult to people's intelligence.

Outlook: Another US strike on Iran could come within days; if it does, Republicans face a likely landslide loss in 2026, and the Massie race will show whether Israel-lobby money can beat any member of Congress who refuses to fall in line.