SpaceX just 100x their problems
A skeptical take on Elon Musk's SpaceX pitch to investors, framed as bad news for anyone buying into sky-high AI and space valuations.
- Musk and bankers are pushing investors to buy into SpaceX, promising over 100,000 new satellites, far more bandwidth, and huge AI growth.
- JP Morgan projects $3.4 trillion in sales by 2040 and a possible $2 trillion IPO, but the pitch is long on vision and short on details.
- Critics say it's overvalued, priced at 100x revenue with only 15% growth, and could lose half its value within a year.
- AI itself has no moat — switching between AI providers costs almost nothing, so prices get pushed down while power and data-center costs keep rising.
- The bigger unanswered question: if AI and robots replace workers, what do people actually do, and who can still afford the products?
Outlook: Chip and AI stocks are already selling off, and this looks like a stretched bet that could unwind fast if the hype fades.