An OSB shortage may be coming to the construction industry

Sep 05, 2026

Wood panel makers are shutting down mills as homebuilding slows, which could push building material prices up even in a weak market — bad news for builders and anyone planning a construction project.

  • Louisiana-Pacific is idling its big OSB mill in Jasper, Texas, blaming weak demand.
  • It is the third major block of North American OSB capacity pulled offline, after West Fraser shut mills in Alberta and Georgia.
  • Housing starts are expected to fall to around 910,000 this year, with tariffs and a sharp drop in immigration cutting demand.
  • Cutting supply faster than demand falls can create a bottleneck, and buyers who rush to stock up make the squeeze worse.
  • Home prices are already down more than 8% nationally, close to the drop seen in the last housing crash.

Outlook: Expect OSB prices at building supply stores to rise over the next six months even as the housing market keeps cooling.

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